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If it's going to be the coldest January in 20 years, you can safely change the planned markdowns from 50% to 40%, or even less, and still have strong clearance sales as weather drives consumer demand for seasonal merchandise they must have.
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What weeks and months are favorable for adding and removing seasonal employees, planning events, aerating, and seeding?
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Knowing your 'Power of 1 Degree' rule of thumb for seasonal merchandise category sales makes it easy to estimate demand with one simple chart.